Rest of Season Projection
AlbertCategoryMason
29K →50
3.71ERA →3.67
1.24WHIP1.24
3–7W3–8
1–4SV ←0
Current Season
AlbertCategoryMason
10K →30
2.61ERA ←4.09
1.21WHIP ←1.36
2W →3
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Albert Suárez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.68 is 0.67 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Mason Fluharty
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.30 sits 1.80 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.377 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Albert Suárez: 29 K / 3.71 ERA. Mason Fluharty: 50 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).