Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryHoby
32K ←27
3.70ERA ←3.79
1.24WHIP ←1.25
0–0W →1–2
0SV →1–3
Current Season
AlexCategoryHoby
12K12
5.84ERA →2.49
1.54WHIP →1.03
0W →1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Hoppe
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.26)
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.52 is 1.34 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Alex Hoppe: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. Hoby Milner: 27 K / 3.79 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).