Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryRyan
46K ←23
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W →3–9
1–6SV ←0
Current Season
AlexCategoryRyan
28K ←16
2.21ERA ←2.89
0.93WHIP ←1.39
1W →3
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Vesia
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.51)
Ryan Rolison
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.11 is 1.62 above the ERA — regression coming
Alex Vesia: 46 K / 3.70 ERA. Ryan Rolison: 23 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).