Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryCal
35K ←32
3.69ERA ←3.71
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W →2–7
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryCal
20K ←14
4.18ERA →2.53
1.52WHIP →1.22
1W →2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Morris
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.40 sits 0.70 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.386 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Cal Quantrill
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.59 is 2.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Morris: 35 K / 3.69 ERA. Cal Quantrill: 32 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).