Rest of Season Projection
AngelCategoryGarrett
6HR →8
38R ←36
45RBI →48
13SB ←10
.221AVG ←.211
Current Season
AngelCategoryGarrett
9HR ←3
24R ←21
29RBI ←28
8SB ←6
.243AVG ←.230
What Each Player's System Trusts
Angel Martínez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.295 below league with no luck excuse
Garrett Mitchell
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.334, +0.019 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 36% is stable and high — caps the floor
Angel Martínez: 6 HR / 38 R. Garrett Mitchell: 8 HR / 36 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).