Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryErnie
2HR →4
38R ←36
34RBI ←31
10SB ←3
.253AVG →.266
Current Season
BenCategoryErnie
0HR →5
19R →25
17RBI →22
5SB ←2
.273AVG →.300
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Williamson
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.305)
Ernie Clement
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.318 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.278 is 0.065 below the surface — regression coming
Ben Williamson: 2 HR / 38 R. Ernie Clement: 4 HR / 36 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).