Rest of Season Projection
BrentCategoryKeaton
37K ←30
3.69ERA →3.66
1.26WHIP →1.24
1–2W1–2
0SV0
Current Season
BrentCategoryKeaton
28K ←22
4.09ERA →2.45
1.27WHIP →0.90
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brent Suter
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.60)
Keaton Winn
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.91 is 0.51 above the ERA — regression coming
Brent Suter: 37 K / 3.69 ERA. Keaton Winn: 30 K / 3.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).