Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryShane
87K →97
3.00ERA ←3.63
1.26WHIP ←1.30
4–8W →7–14
0SV0
Current Season
BryceCategoryShane
61K ←53
2.50ERA →2.45
1.08WHIP →1.02
4W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Elder
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.00, 1.10 below league — production is earned
Shane McClanahan
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.261 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.63 is 0.78 above the ERA — regression coming
Bryce Elder: 87 K / 3.00 ERA. Shane McClanahan: 97 K / 3.63 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).