Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryMason
30K →50
3.70ERA3.71
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W ←1–2
0SV0
Current Season
ChaseCategoryMason
20K →30
2.33ERA ←3.91
0.93WHIP ←1.26
2W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Shugart
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.32 is 1.11 above the ERA — regression coming
Mason Montgomery
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.89)
Chase Shugart: 30 K / 3.70 ERA. Mason Montgomery: 50 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).