Rest of Season Projection
ChrisCategoryKyle
77K →83
4.48ERA ←5.70
1.42WHIP ←1.43
0–0W →6–12
0SV0
Current Season
ChrisCategoryKyle
35K →46
6.90ERA →4.25
1.71WHIP →1.56
0W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chris Paddack
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.352 elevated and unstable — the 7.17 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraSIGNALbut luck-free xERA 4.68 is +0.58 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Kyle Leahy
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 6.56 +2.46 vs league with no luck excuse
Chris Paddack: 77 K / 4.48 ERA. Kyle Leahy: 83 K / 5.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).