Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategorySean
31K →64
3.70ERA ←3.78
1.24WHIP ←1.26
1–3W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
ConnorCategorySean
15K →42
3.12ERA ←5.08
1.38WHIP ←1.46
1W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Seabold
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.11 sits 0.99 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.339 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Sean Manaea
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.17 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.336 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Connor Seabold: 31 K / 3.70 ERA. Sean Manaea: 64 K / 3.78 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).