Rest of Season Projection
DennisCategoryJason
33K ←32
3.75ERA →3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
2–4W2–5
2–4SV ←1–3
Current Season
DennisCategoryJason
19K ←11
4.81ERA →0.90
1.48WHIP →1.00
2W2
2SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dennis Santana
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.94)
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.261 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.45 is 1.81 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Dennis Santana: 33 K / 3.75 ERA. Jason Adam: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).