Rest of Season Projection
DerekCategorySal
7HR ←3
27R →36
18RBI →30
18SB ←6
.204AVG →.227
Current Season
DerekCategorySal
3HR3
9R →23
6RBI →19
6SB ←4
.234AVG ←.219
What Each Player's System Trusts
Derek Hill
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.299)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Sal Frelick
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.283 below league with no luck excuse
Derek Hill: 7 HR / 27 R. Sal Frelick: 3 HR / 36 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).