Rest of Season Projection
FernandoCategoryShane
54K →58
3.68ERA →3.63
1.25WHIP →1.24
3–7W ←2–5
0SV →1–3
Current Season
FernandoCategoryShane
30K →33
2.19ERA ←2.87
1.30WHIP →1.15
3W ←2
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Fernando Cruz
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.270 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.16 is 1.21 above the ERA — regression coming
Shane Drohan
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.02)
Fernando Cruz: 54 K / 3.68 ERA. Shane Drohan: 58 K / 3.63 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).