Rest of Season Projection
GabeCategoryJuan
39K →46
3.70ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP ←1.26
1–3W ←1–2
1–4SV →3–6
Current Season
GabeCategoryJuan
16K →30
2.45ERA ←6.00
1.30WHIP ←1.70
1W1
1SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gabe Speier
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.84)
Juan Mejia
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.00 sits 0.10 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.393 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Gabe Speier: 39 K / 3.70 ERA. Juan Mejia: 46 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).