Rest of Season Projection
GeorgeCategoryJoel
31K ←25
3.72ERA3.73
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–5W ←1–2
1–5SV →4–8
Current Season
GeorgeCategoryJoel
20K ←13
3.04ERA3.04
1.14WHIP ←1.18
2W ←1
2SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
George Soriano
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.236 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.38 is 1.30 above the ERA — regression coming
Joel Kuhnel
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.62)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
George Soriano: 31 K / 3.72 ERA. Joel Kuhnel: 25 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).