Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryMichael
23K →31
3.85ERA →3.69
1.26WHIP →1.24
3–8W ←1–2
1–2SV →1–3
Current Season
GordonCategoryMichael
14K →23
1.80ERA ←3.63
0.90WHIP ←1.12
4W ←1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.169 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.31 is 3.64 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Michael Petersen
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.18)
Gordon Graceffo: 23 K / 3.85 ERA. Michael Petersen: 31 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).