Rest of Season Projection
GrantCategoryJake
38K ←33
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W1–3
0SV0
Current Season
GrantCategoryJake
21K ←20
4.02ERA ←5.00
1.53WHIP →1.33
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Grant Wolfram
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.35)
Jake Bird
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.81 sits 0.29 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.347 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Grant Wolfram: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Jake Bird: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).