Rest of Season Projection
GusCategoryHogan
34K →43
3.73ERA →3.67
1.24WHIP ←1.27
1–2W →2–4
5–9SV ←4–8
Current Season
GusCategoryHogan
20K →31
4.09ERA →2.60
1.55WHIP ←1.59
1W →2
4SV4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gus Varland
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.14)
Hogan Harris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.273 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.30 is 0.90 above the ERA — regression coming
Gus Varland: 34 K / 3.73 ERA. Hogan Harris: 43 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).