Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategoryJohn
27K27
3.79ERA →3.73
1.25WHIP1.25
1–2W ←0–0
1–3SV →1–3
Current Season
HobyCategoryJohn
12K →13
2.49ERA ←2.74
1.03WHIP ←1.30
1W ←0
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.52 is 1.34 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
John Schreiber
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.239 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.84 is 2.00 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Hoby Milner: 27 K / 3.79 ERA. John Schreiber: 27 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).