Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategoryJustin
27K →39
3.79ERA →3.74
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
HobyCategoryJustin
12K →25
2.49ERA ←5.32
1.03WHIP ←1.55
1W ←0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.52 is 1.34 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Justin Lawrence
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.74)
Hoby Milner: 27 K / 3.79 ERA. Justin Lawrence: 39 K / 3.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).