Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategoryKeegan
27K →36
3.79ERA →3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
HobyCategoryKeegan
12K12
2.49ERA ←9.88
1.03WHIP ←1.83
1W ←0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.52 is 1.34 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Keegan Akin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.357 elevated and unstable — the 8.64 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.50 is +0.40 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Hoby Milner: 27 K / 3.79 ERA. Keegan Akin: 36 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).