Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategoryMatt
27K →45
3.79ERA ←3.89
1.25WHIP ←1.26
1–2W1–2
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
HobyCategoryMatt
12K →26
2.49ERA ←8.77
1.03WHIP ←1.95
1W1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.52 is 1.34 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Matt Svanson
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (7.34)
Hoby Milner: 27 K / 3.79 ERA. Matt Svanson: 45 K / 3.89 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).