Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategoryTanner
27K →42
3.79ERA →3.70
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
HobyCategoryTanner
12K →25
2.49ERA ←6.75
1.03WHIP ←2.06
1W ←0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.52 is 1.34 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tanner Banks
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.40 sits 0.70 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.429 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Hoby Milner: 27 K / 3.79 ERA. Tanner Banks: 42 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).