Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryJalen
33K ←30
3.70ERA ←3.73
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W →2–5
0SV0
Current Season
JakeCategoryJalen
20K ←18
5.00ERA →3.86
1.33WHIP ←1.37
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Bird
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.81 sits 0.29 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.347 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jalen Beeks
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.84)
Jake Bird: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Jalen Beeks: 30 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).