Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryJohn
33K ←26
3.70ERA →3.68
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W1–2
0SV →1–3
Current Season
JakeCategoryJohn
20K20
5.00ERA →2.52
1.33WHIP →0.72
1W1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Bird
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.81 sits 0.29 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.347 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
John King
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.106 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.18 is 0.87 above the ERA — regression coming
Jake Bird: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. John King: 26 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).