Rest of Season Projection
JakobCategoryWill
29K →35
3.67ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →1–3
3–6SV ←1–2
Current Season
JakobCategoryWill
16K →20
1.75ERA ←7.23
0.78WHIP ←1.45
0W →1
3SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jakob Junis
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.205 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.11 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Will Vest
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.57 sits 0.53 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.357 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jakob Junis: 29 K / 3.67 ERA. Will Vest: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).