Rest of Season Projection
JaredCategoryRafael
12HR →14
35R →36
20RBI →41
0SB0
.284AVG ←.226
Current Season
JaredCategoryRafael
2HR →7
7R →26
4RBI →30
0SB0
.306AVG ←.251
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jared Young
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.398)
Rafael Devers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.290 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jared Young: 12 HR / 35 R. Rafael Devers: 14 HR / 36 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).