Rest of Season Projection
JasonCategorySpencer
32K →48
3.70ERA3.69
1.24WHIP ←1.25
2–5W2–4
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JasonCategorySpencer
11K →34
0.90ERA ←3.47
1.00WHIP ←1.16
2W2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jason Adam
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.261 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.45 is 1.81 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Spencer Miles
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.63)
Jason Adam: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. Spencer Miles: 48 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).