Rest of Season Projection
JoséCategorySam
47K ←37
3.73ERA →3.62
1.26WHIP →1.25
0–0W →1–2
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JoséCategorySam
33K ←29
5.46ERA →2.22
1.89WHIP →1.09
0W →1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
José Suarez
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.17 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.461 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Sam Bachman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.217 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.67 is 0.55 above the ERA — regression coming
José Suarez: 47 K / 3.73 ERA. Sam Bachman: 37 K / 3.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).