Rest of Season Projection
JTCategoryTyler
38K ←36
3.82ERA →3.72
1.27WHIP →1.25
0–0W →1–2
0SV0
Current Season
JTCategoryTyler
22K →24
2.70ERA ←4.23
1.30WHIP ←1.37
0W →1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
JT Brubaker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.263 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.07 is 2.07 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Holton
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.00 sits 0.10 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.357 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
JT Brubaker: 38 K / 3.82 ERA. Tyler Holton: 36 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).