Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategoryTyler
30K →36
3.78ERA →3.72
1.26WHIP →1.25
0–0W →1–2
0SV0
Current Season
JustinCategoryTyler
18K →24
4.61ERA →4.23
1.46WHIP →1.37
0W →1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Bruihl
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.97)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tyler Holton
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.00 sits 0.10 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.357 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Justin Bruihl: 30 K / 3.78 ERA. Tyler Holton: 36 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).