Rest of Season Projection
JustinCategoryTyler
39K ←36
3.74ERA →3.72
1.24WHIP ←1.25
0–0W →1–2
0SV0
Current Season
JustinCategoryTyler
25K ←24
5.32ERA →4.23
1.55WHIP →1.37
0W →1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Justin Lawrence
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.74)
Tyler Holton
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.00 sits 0.10 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.357 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Justin Lawrence: 39 K / 3.74 ERA. Tyler Holton: 36 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).