Rest of Season Projection
KevinCategoryMax
99K →107
3.45ERA ←3.65
1.14WHIP ←1.25
4–8W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
KevinCategoryMax
66K →74
3.13ERA →2.97
1.09WHIP ←1.10
4W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kevin Gausman
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.45, 0.65 below league — production is earned
Max Meyer
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.246 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.65 is 0.84 above the ERA — regression coming
Kevin Gausman: 99 K / 3.45 ERA. Max Meyer: 107 K / 3.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).