Rest of Season Projection
KyleCategoryTroy
105K ←34
4.11ERA4.10
1.45WHIP →1.30
3–6W →4–9
0SV0
Current Season
KyleCategoryTroy
65K ←4
3.44ERA →1.42
1.42WHIP →0.95
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kyle Bradish
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.11)
Troy Melton
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.175 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.47 is 2.73 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 11% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Kyle Bradish: 105 K / 4.11 ERA. Troy Melton: 34 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).