Rest of Season Projection
KyleCategoryTim
32K32
3.75ERA →3.70
1.29WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←0–0
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
KyleCategoryTim
16K16
1.93ERA ←3.32
1.54WHIP ←1.63
1W ←0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kyle Finnegan
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.274 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.38 is 2.26 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tim Herrin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.42 is 0.51 above the ERA — regression coming
Kyle Finnegan: 32 K / 3.75 ERA. Tim Herrin: 32 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).