Rest of Season Projection
MacKenzieCategorySpencer
105K ←92
4.08ERA ←4.67
1.36WHIP ←1.43
4–9W →9–19
0SV0
Current Season
MacKenzieCategorySpencer
65K ←43
3.96ERA →1.34
1.19WHIP →1.13
4W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
MacKenzie Gore
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (4.08)
Spencer Arrighetti
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.229 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.97 is 3.03 above the ERA — regression coming
MacKenzie Gore: 105 K / 4.08 ERA. Spencer Arrighetti: 92 K / 4.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).