Rest of Season Projection
MartínCategoryPeter
67K →78
4.06ERA →3.97
1.33WHIP ←1.42
3–7W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
MartínCategoryPeter
42K →43
2.79ERA ←3.77
1.06WHIP ←1.21
3W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Martín Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.228 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.06 is 1.04 above the ERA — regression coming
Peter Lambert
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.97 is 0.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Martín Pérez: 67 K / 4.06 ERA. Peter Lambert: 78 K / 3.97 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).