Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryYuki
45K ←38
3.89ERA →3.70
1.26WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
MattCategoryYuki
26K ←15
8.77ERA →0.60
1.95WHIP →0.87
1W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Svanson
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (7.34)
Yuki Matsui
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.175 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.37 is 1.92 above the ERA — regression coming
Matt Svanson: 45 K / 3.89 ERA. Yuki Matsui: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).