Rest of Season Projection
SamCategorySean
37K →40
3.62ERA ←3.65
1.25WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←0–0
0SV →1–2
Current Season
SamCategorySean
29K →31
2.22ERA ←2.62
1.09WHIP →1.08
1W ←0
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Sam Bachman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.217 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.67 is 0.55 above the ERA — regression coming
Sean Newcomb
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.28)
Sam Bachman: 37 K / 3.62 ERA. Sean Newcomb: 40 K / 3.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).