Rest of Season Projection
ShaneCategoryTanner
96K ←94
4.38ERA4.38
1.39WHIP →1.32
2–4W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
ShaneCategoryTanner
57K →60
4.48ERA ←4.57
1.43WHIP →1.30
2W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Shane Baz
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.53 +0.43 vs league with no luck excuse
Tanner Bibee
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.269 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.53 is 0.44 above the ERA — regression coming
Shane Baz: 96 K / 4.38 ERA. Tanner Bibee: 94 K / 4.38 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).