Rest of Season Projection
StevenCategoryZac
76K →87
5.24ERA →4.98
1.39WHIP ←1.40
5–11W ←3–7
0SV0
Current Season
StevenCategoryZac
35K →42
4.67ERA ←5.16
1.24WHIP ←1.47
4W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Steven Matz
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.85 +1.75 vs league with no luck excuse
Zac Gallen
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.45 +1.35 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Steven Matz: 76 K / 5.24 ERA. Zac Gallen: 87 K / 4.98 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).