Rest of Season Projection
StevenCategoryTyler
38K ←36
3.68ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP ←1.25
0–0W →1–2
0SV0
Current Season
StevenCategoryTyler
22K →24
3.46ERA ←4.23
0.96WHIP ←1.37
0W →1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Steven Okert
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.200 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.40 is 0.40 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Holton
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.00 sits 0.10 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.357 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Steven Okert: 38 K / 3.68 ERA. Tyler Holton: 36 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).