Is Victor Scott II a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Victor Scott II's rest-of-season outlook?

86.6 mph exit velo and a 1.5% barrel rate — no thump.

195 PA · week 31

this weekSELL

last weekHOLD

Victor Scott II

STL·CF

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

flipped from HOLD on October 26, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.271 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.64

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Scott is a sell — the bat is short and the profile says it's real

His expected wOBA is .271 against a league average of .315, and at 195 plate appearances it has cleared the point where the number becomes reliable. So the problem is not bad luck hiding a better hitter — it is the hitter. His hard-hit rate is 23.7% against a league mark of 40.0%, and his barrel rate is 1.5% against 8.0%, both on 131 batted balls, well past the threshold for trusting them. His average exit velocity of 86.6 mph sits 2.4 mph below league. The expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample, which is the wrong direction at the wrong time. The one thing he does well is lay off pitches out of the zone, and that does not lift the power profile. Sell. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG line is a waiver-wire drag — cut him loose.

VS His Norm

Barrel %1.5%—−2.7% ▼vs his ~4.2% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.271 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo86.6 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.4 mphvs his norm —

131 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %23.7%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−16.3%vs his norm —

131 / 50 BBE

Barrel %1.5%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−6.5%vs his norm −2.7% ▼

131 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.271

lg avg .315 ▼−.044vs his norm —

195 / 160 PA

wOBA.243

lg avg .315 ▼−.072vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.

195 / 200 PA

Strikeout %23.6%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.6%vs his norm —

195 / 60 PA

Walk %8.2%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−0.3%vs his norm —

195 / 120 PA

BABIP.252

lg avg .295 ▼−.043vs his norm −.019 ▼BABIP is below his ~.271 norm — expect it to rise.

131 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.6%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —

195 / 50 PA

Chase %22.6%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−5.9%vs his norm —

195 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 1.5%→3.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 1.5% (signal) lifted to career ~4.2% → projected 3.1%.

BABIP 0.252→0.277 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.252 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.282 (xBA 0.222) → 0.277.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (7 in 56 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons