Is Victor Scott II a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Victor Scott II's rest-of-season outlook?

1.6% barrels and 24% hard-hit — no power base

186 PA · week 25

this weekSELL

last weekHOLD

Victor Scott II

STL·CF

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

flipped from HOLD on September 10, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.276 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.63

ROSHR 0AVG .204R 4RBI 2SB 2

Scott is a sell — his skill is below league, and it's trending worse.

His expected wOBA is .276 — 39 points below the league average of .315 — and he has 186 plate appearances, past the point where that number becomes reliable. There is no bad-luck story here to wait out. He is averaging 86.8 mph off the bat, more than two mph below league, and his hard-hit rate is 24.2% against a league average of 40.0%, with 124 batted balls, well past the sample where contact quality can be trusted. The barrel rate is the thinnest part: 1.6% against a league average of 8.0%. The one thing he does well is avoid chasing, at 22.4%, but that does not make up for the bat. This call rests on stable skill, not a sample quirk, and the xwOBA has stepped down across the season rather than up. Sell. A 0 HR / 4 R / 2 RBI / 2 SB / .204 AVG line is waiver fodder — drop, this skill never supported the counting stats.

VS His Norm

Barrel %1.6%—−2.6% ▼vs his ~4.2% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.276 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo86.8 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−2.2 mphvs his norm —

124 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %24.2%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−15.8%vs his norm —

124 / 50 BBE

Barrel %1.6%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−6.4%vs his norm −2.6% ▼

124 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.276

lg avg .315 ▼−.039vs his norm —

186 / 160 PA

wOBA.250

lg avg .315 ▼−.065vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.

186 / 200 PA

Strikeout %23.7%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.7%vs his norm —

186 / 60 PA

Walk %8.6%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —

186 / 120 PA

BABIP.259

lg avg .295 ▼−.036vs his norm −.012 ▼BABIP is below his ~.271 norm — expect it to rise.

124 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.4%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —

186 / 50 PA

Chase %22.4%

lg avg 28.5% ▼−6.1%vs his norm —

186 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 1.6%→3.2%signal0 HR — Barrel% 1.6% (signal) lifted to career ~4.2% → projected 3.2%.

BABIP 0.259→0.280 regressednoise.204 AVG — BABIP 0.259 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.283 (xBA 0.223) → 0.280.

on-base + lineup4 R — his run rate over ~37 projected PA.

slugging + lineup2 RBI — his RBI rate over ~37 projected PA.

run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (7 in 56 G) over ~37 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons