Rest of Season Projection
BobbyCategoryMiguel
20HR ←15
46R →69
40RBI →59
26SB ←14
.314AVG ←.227
Current Season
BobbyCategoryMiguel
9HR →15
30R →44
26RBI →38
17SB ←9
.287AVG ←.241
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bobby Witt Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.398, +0.083 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Miguel Vargas
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.394, +0.079 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Bobby Witt Jr. projects to hit .314 with 26 steals; Vargas sits at .227 AVG with 14 steals. The AVG+SB gap separates them sharply. Same buy verdict, but Witt plays in a different tier.

