
265 PA · week 10
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
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Bobby Witt Jr.
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Witt is a buy — elite contact, skill outstrips production.
His hard-hit rate is at 54.4% and climbing; that is 14 points above league average and already stable after 193 batted balls. His average exit velocity is 93.8 mph — nearly five mph above league — and his barrel rate is 13.5%, well clear of the 8% mark. That elite contact quality translates to an expected wOBA of .398, .083 above league average, and with 265 plate appearances that number is reliable. His actual wOBA is .361, which means he is actually underperforming his skill right now rather than being carried by luck. His strikeout rate is below league and his walk rate is above. His game is built on contact quality and discipline, and the numbers are all trending in the right direction. Buy.
Buy
high0.77
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.398, +0.083 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo93.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+4.8 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL193 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %54.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+14.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL193 / 50 BBE
Barrel %13.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL193 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.398
lg avg .315 ▲+.083trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL265 / 160 PA
wOBA.361
lg avg .315 ▲+.046trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL265 / 200 PA
Strikeout %17.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−4.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL265 / 60 PA
Walk %9.4%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL265 / 120 PA
BABIP.321
lg avg .295 ▲+.026too early to trust
NOISE193 / 800 BIP