MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026

Today's Moves

every verdict flip since yesterday · Sep 27 · 355 total

Upgrades144

Downgrades172

Lateral Moves39

The Loudest Cut

The most actionable names from today's movement — the risers with signal behind them, the fallers worth watching, and the sell-window opportunities where surface stats are outrunning true talent.

Risers

  • Sale is a buy — the strikeout skill is real and earned.
    Buy
  • deGrom is a buy — the stuff is real and it is trending the right way.
    Buy
  • Lopez is a buy — soft contact is holding the profile up.
    Buy
  • Woo is a buy — the skill is earned, not lucky
    Buy
  • Cavalli is a buy — the strikeout stuff and velocity are both real.
    Buy

Fallers

  • Martinez is a sell-high — his ERA is running on luck.
    Sell High
  • Springs is a sell — the contact he allows is below league.
    Sell
  • Bassitt is a sell — his expected ERA is a full run over league
    Sell
  • Dreyer is a sell-high — the ERA is running on BABIP luck.
    Sell High
  • Cecconi is a sell — his expected ERA is above league and climbing.
    Sell

Sell Windows

Players whose surface stats are outrunning their underlying skill — the gap is unstable noise, not earned signal.

  • Campusano's .320 BABIP props up a .355 wOBA.
    Hold
  • A .346 BABIP is propping up Max Clark's line.
    Hold
  • Keaschall's .316 BABIP won't hold; surface over skill.
    Hold
  • A .311 BABIP is propping up a .331 wOBA.
    Hold
  • O'Hearn's .340 wOBA is .023 of BABIP luck.
    Hold