George Soriano
Soriano is a sell — his expected ERA says the skill isn't there.
His expected ERA is 4.57, nearly half a run above the league average of 4.10, and he has faced enough batters for that number to be reliable. Worse, it has been climbing across the sample, so the trend points the wrong way. The strikeout rate looks fine, but the walks are the problem: 12.1% against a league average of 8.0%. He misses bats at 13.9% and gets chases at 33.4%, but a 96.6 mph fastball with that walk rate is a command problem, not a stuff problem. Hard-hit allowed and barrels allowed both sit near league, so nothing unlucky is inflating the expected ERA. There is no luck story to fall back on here. The expected numbers are the pitcher. Sell. A 4.27 ERA and 1.40 WHIP with zero strikeouts is a drop — waiver-wire fodder, not a hold.
VS His Norm
- Walk %12.1%—+1.8% ▲vs his ~10.3% career norm
- Strikeout %22.8%—+1.1% ▲vs his ~21.8% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.57 +0.47 vs league with no luck excuse
5×5 ROS Outlook
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