week 25
this weekSELL
last weekSELL-HIGH
George Soriano
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
flipped from SELL-HIGH on September 10, 2026
Sell stable xERA 4.47 +0.37 vs league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.66 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 4ERA 4.20WHIP 1.37W 0–1SV 0–1
Soriano is a sell — his expected ERA is above league and climbing.
Stable skill below league and not unlucky. Sell.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %23.1%—+1.4% ▲vs his ~21.8% career norm
- Walk %11.2%—+0.9% ▲vs his ~10.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.47 +0.37 vs league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed40.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —
173 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed9.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
173 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.325
lg avg .315 ▲+.010vs his norm —
268 / 200 TBF
xERA4.47
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.37vs his norm —
268 / 200 TBF
ERA4.23
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.13vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
61.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm +1.4% ▲
268 / 70 TBF
Walk %11.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.2%vs his norm +0.9% ▲
268 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.267
lg avg .295 ▼−.028vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
173 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.3%vs his norm —
268 / 60 TBF
Chase %33.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+5.2%vs his norm —
268 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.6 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.6 mphvs his norm —
1056 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.1%→22.5%signal4 K — K% 23.1% (signal) tempered to career ~21.8% → projected 22.5% over ~5 remaining IP.
xERA 4.47signal4.20 ERA — xERA 4.47 (signal) blended 65% skill / 35% league 3.70 at 24 IP.
BB% 11.2% + contactsignal1.37 WHIP — a 11% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.289 gives a 1.43 skill WHIP, blended 6…
run support + role0-1 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0-1 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdrop4.20 ERA, 1.37 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.