MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 9, 2026
Engraved portrait of George Soriano
George Soriano
STL·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to
Engraved portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI·P
Buy Low high·0.90
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

GeorgeCategoryJosé
31K 47
3.72ERA 3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W 1–3
1–5SV 1–3

Current Season

GeorgeCategoryJosé
20K 26
3.04ERA 5.59
1.14WHIP 1.81
2W 1
2SV 1

What Each Player's System Trusts

George Soriano
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.236 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.38 is 1.30 above the ERA — regression coming
José Alvarado
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.57 sits 0.53 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.429 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA

George Soriano: 31 K / 3.72 ERA. José Alvarado: 47 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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