MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 18, 2026
Engraved portrait of José Ramírez
314 PA · week 17
this weekBUY
last weekBUY-LOW

José Ramírez

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
ON THE 10-DAY IL
flipped from BUY-LOW
Buy stable xwOBA 0.356, +0.041 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.68
ROSHR 4AVG .254R 24RBI 22SB 15

Ramírez is a buy — elite contact, elite plate discipline.

His hard-hit rate has stepped up across the season to 44.2%, well above the 40% league average and stable after 227 batted balls. That contact quality drives an expected wOBA of .356 — .041 above league average — which is also stable at 314 plate appearances. The walk rate is 13.1%, nearly 5 points above league, and the strikeout rate is 14%, 8 points below league, giving the batting average a solid floor. His actual wOBA is .328, slightly below his xwOBA, meaning the production is earned and could even tick up. The skill is real and the sample is deep. Buy. 4 HR / 24 R / 22 RBI / 15 SB / .254 AVG makes him a deep-league asset — buy now.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %6.6%−0.9%vs his ~7.5% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.356, +0.041 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.3 mph
90.3 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph +1.3 mphvs his norm —
227 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %44.2%
44.2%*
lg avg 40.0% +4.2%vs his norm —
227 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.6%
norm6.6%*
lg avg 8.0% −1.4%vs his norm −0.9%
227 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.356
.356*
lg avg .315 +.041vs his norm —
314 / 160 PA
wOBA.328
.328*
lg avg .315 +.013vs his norm —
314 / 200 PA
Strikeout %14.0%
14.0%*
lg avg 22.0% −8.0%vs his norm —
314 / 60 PA
Walk %13.1%
13.1%*
lg avg 8.5% +4.6%vs his norm —
314 / 120 PA
BABIP.249
norm.249*
lg avg .295 −.046vs his norm −.028 BABIP is below his ~.277 normexpect it to rise.
227 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.1%
8.1%*
lg avg 11.0% −2.9%vs his norm —
314 / 50 PA
Chase %29.7%
29.7%*
lg avg 28.5% +1.2%vs his norm —
314 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.6%→7.0%signal4 HR — Barrel% 6.6% (signal) lifted to career ~7.5% → projected 7.0%.
BABIP 0.249→0.282 regressednoise.254 AVG — BABIP 0.249 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.296 (xBA 0.282) → 0.282.
on-base + lineup24 R — his run rate over ~202 projected PA.
slugging + lineup22 RBI — his RBI rate over ~202 projected PA.
run rate / role15 SB — his steal rate (20 in 61 G) over ~202 projected PA.
rosterdeep35 SB

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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