MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of José Ramírez
544 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekBUY-LOW

José Ramírez

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
flipped from BUY-LOW on October 26, 2026
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.325); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Ramírez is a hold — steady league-average bat with a rising xwOBA

His expected wOBA is .325, .010 above the league average of .315, and it has been stepping up across the sample. That number is reliable at 544 plate appearances. The surface lags it: his actual wOBA is .301, so his line undersells the contact a bit — but not enough to call this a buy. His exit velocity (88.6 mph) and hard-hit rate (38.8%) sit a hair under league, and his barrel rate of 4.1% is about half the league mark. What keeps the profile afloat is discipline: a 12.7% strikeout rate and 11.0% walk rate, both well better than league, with a swinging-strike rate of 7.0% against 11.0%. The contact is ordinary; the at-bats are not. Hold. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG line is a counting-category drag — hold, but drop-tier and waiver-fringe.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %4.1%—−3.4% ▼vs his ~7.5% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.325)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.6 mph
88.6 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.4 mphvs his norm —
411 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %38.8%
38.8%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.2%vs his norm —
411 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.1%
norm4.1%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.9%vs his norm −3.4% ▼
411 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.325
.325*
lg avg .315 ▲+.010vs his norm —
544 / 160 PA
wOBA.301
.301*
lg avg .315 ▼−.014vs his norm —
544 / 200 PA
Strikeout %12.7%
12.7%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−9.3%vs his norm —
544 / 60 PA
Walk %11.0%
11.0%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.5%vs his norm —
544 / 120 PA
BABIP.248
norm.248*
lg avg .295 ▼−.047vs his norm −.029 ▼BABIP is below his ~.277 norm — expect it to rise.
411 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.0%
7.0%*
lg avg 11.0% ▼−4.0%vs his norm —
544 / 50 PA
Chase %28.5%
28.5%*
lg avg 28.5% 0.0%vs his norm —
544 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.1%→5.2%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.1% (signal) lifted to career ~7.5% → projected 5.2%.
BABIP 0.248→0.262 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.248 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.276 (xBA 0.266) → 0.262.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (20 in 61 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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