MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of José Ramírez
480 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekBUY-LOW

José Ramírez

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
flipped from BUY-LOW on September 10, 2026
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.332); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60
ROSHR 0AVG .235R 5RBI 5SB 3

Ramírez is a hold — league-average skill, nothing unstable

His expected wOBA is .332, sitting just .017 above the league average of .315. That isn't a gap worth chasing; it's the difference between a solid regular and a star. The encouraging part is the shape: his expected wOBA has stepped up as the sample has grown, so the skill isn't sliding. The power metrics aren't the draw here. His average exit velocity is 88.9 mph against a league average of 89.0, his hard-hit rate is 39.1% against 40.0%, and his barrel rate of 4.2% is well short of the league's 8.0%. He makes up ground by controlling the strike zone: a 12.7% strikeout rate and 11.7% walk rate are both better than league average, and his swing decisions support those numbers. Hold. 0 HR / 5 R / 5 RBI / 3 SB / .235 AVG is a drop-tier drag — hold, but he's streaming-only in this form.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %4.2%−3.3%vs his ~7.5% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.332)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.9 mph
88.9 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −0.1 mphvs his norm —
359 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %39.1%
39.1%*
lg avg 40.0% −0.9%vs his norm —
359 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.2%
norm4.2%*
lg avg 8.0% −3.8%vs his norm −3.3%
359 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.332
.332*
lg avg .315 +.017vs his norm —
480 / 160 PA
wOBA.307
.307*
lg avg .315 −.008vs his norm —
480 / 200 PA
Strikeout %12.7%
12.7%*
lg avg 22.0% −9.3%vs his norm —
480 / 60 PA
Walk %11.7%
11.7%*
lg avg 8.5% +3.2%vs his norm —
480 / 120 PA
BABIP.250
norm.250*
lg avg .295 −.045vs his norm −.026 BABIP is below his ~.277 normexpect it to rise.
359 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.1%
7.1%*
lg avg 11.0% −3.9%vs his norm —
480 / 50 PA
Chase %29.2%
29.2%*
lg avg 28.5% +0.7%vs his norm —
480 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.2%→5.4%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.2% (signal) lifted to career ~7.5% → projected 5.4%.
BABIP 0.250→0.268 regressednoise.235 AVG — BABIP 0.250 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.282 (xBA 0.271) → 0.268.
on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~45 projected PA.
slugging + lineup5 RBI — his RBI rate over ~45 projected PA.
run rate / role3 SB — his steal rate (20 in 61 G) over ~45 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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